Thus, a winter storm warning remains in effect for the Keweenaw Peninsula where as much as 15 inches of snow will be possible by Wednesday morning.
Very cold air is in over the state today, and it will produce some snow. By Wednesday night, the heaviest band of lake-effect snow may shift south of Buffalo. "It will be one semi-continuous band between now and Friday". Those snow bands then travel from the lake onto the land and drop snow.
While the first lake-effect event will eventually be disrupted by the end of the week due to a unfavorable wind direction, there is potential for a second round of lake-effect snow to develop by this weekend and continue into the start of next week.
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The snow squall watch issued at 8:21 p.m., Tuesday, Dec. 5, and updated on Wednesday, Dec. 6 at 11:12 a.m. was ended for North Bay and area at 3:46 p.m. Tomorrow, those winds shift more to the NW, and that will increase lake effect snow potential over northern tier counties in IN, mostly Laporte, St. Joe, Elkhart and Lagrange, along with parts of Kosciusko and Marshall.
This is expected to be a big problem for parts of New York State this week. The best precipitation chances next week come Thursday with snow, about 24 hours later than our previous forecast. The northern half of the state sees better snow chances in our forecast this morning.
Saturday night: Partly cloudy, low around 16. This is not expected to be a major snow event because the track of the low will be too far offshore.
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We may feel more Arctic air by the middle of next week. The overlap between those two ingredients will be dictated by the track of the low in relation to the coast, which is uncertain.
The relatively mild weather we've seen over the last couple of days is going away.
Some light accumulations in the system's path are not out of the question, but details remain uncertain.
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