Jaguars vs. Patriots Odds and Picks AFC Championship Betting Game


Especially on defense, they have many, many great players.

Marrone noted that the Patriots are always favored, and he's right: The Patriots have been the favorites in all 18 games they've had this season and postseason.

"The success that Pittsburgh had last week, they are more of a vertical passing game, New England is more of a horizontal passing game. I don't know why because we whooped them the first time", Ngakoue said.

The Patriots are now dealing with a step up in competition by facing the Jaguars in the AFC Championship, according to the Providence Journal. We marvel constantly at what Tom Brady has done over the years as he gets older, but don't really talk enough about what Brees has done in New Orleans.

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The Jaguars are not the only ones who seem to think that was the case though.

The Steelers could benefit from better play-calling as they struggled to convert a couple fourth downs in Sunday's loss to the Jags.

It isn't just that the Jaguars are a unsafe team, though that's a fact that can't be ignored.

The following teams defeated Brady with elite defensive play and won a Super Bowl: The New York Giants in 2007 and 2011 (both teams won Super Bowls), the 2012 Baltimore Ravens (won Super Bowl XLVII), and the 2015 Denver Broncos (won Super Bowl 50). The Jags ranked fifth for scoring offense. The combination of big plays and bad throws led to mostly middle-of-the-road statistics, but Leonard Fournette, a rookie running back selected with the fourth overall pick in this year's draft, was a ideal complement, rushing for 1,040 yards and nine touchdowns in just 13 games. But since the oddsmakers have chose to make New England nine-point favorites, the smart money is on the Jaguars. Excelling at what the Jaguars do well is the way to beat the Patriots in the postseason.

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Harmon said that he saw Sunday's game as "a show of when you don't respect the opponent all the time and give them the utmost respect and all the attention they need that week, you can let one slip". They made it to the Super Bowl five of the previous six times they were the top seed in the AFC, winning three. If anyone can hold the MVP favorite below that number, it's Jacksonville, who led the National Football League in the regular season by limiting opponents to a 68.5 rating.

The key for him is not to turn the ball over, and he hasn't thrown a pick in two play-off games. The greatest quarterback of all time isn't almost as unsafe when under constant pressure, something that the Giants, Broncos and Ravens have proven on multiple occasions in the playoffs.

Ben Roethlisberger put up big numbers as the Steelers scored 42 points against the Jaguars in the second round, though that was an aberration. Two of the last three they lost in the NFC title game. I fell into this trap like everyone else did, but NOTHING about their early season matchup suggested Pittsburgh matched up well with the Jaguars. While that isn't 100 percent ideal, it is better than allowing Fournette to do as he pleases.

The AFC and NFC divisional-round winners on Sunday will then face off against New England and Philadelphia, respectively, on Sunday, January 21. Their O/U trends are 4-1-1 in their last 6 playoff road games, 1-4 in their last 5 January games, and 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win.

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